Sokol Saratov 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
0.98/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.14
-16% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.04.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-2 HT 0-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
22.10.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 5-3 HT 4-1 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
01.11.2015 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-0 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
30.05.2015 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-0 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
06.07.2014 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-2 HT 1-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
1-0
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov nicked a narrow win over Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sokol Saratov found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 42% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 58%, shots finished 4-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sokol Saratov and 1.60 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Sokol Saratov 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 34%, draw 29%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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