Arsenal Tula 1-1 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -17%
1.41/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.16
+1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
4W-1D-1L
AWAY KAMAZ
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
20.07.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
25.11.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-0 HT 2-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
21.08.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
06.11.2022 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
19.10.2015 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula and KAMAZ couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal Tula at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.33 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?

Arsenal Tula 1-1 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 46%, draw 26%, KAMAZ 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arsenal Tula), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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