KAMAZ 2-1 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.4pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.02/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.85
-8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
25.11.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-0 HT 2-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
21.08.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
06.11.2022 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
19.10.2015 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAMAZ
2-1
AWAY Arsenal Tula
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ edged past Arsenal Tula 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 33% / 40% — and on the day KAMAZ made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KAMAZ had 54% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 46%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for KAMAZ and 1.00 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula?

KAMAZ 2-1 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 27%, draw 33%, Arsenal Tula 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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