Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.73/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.38
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
13.04.2024 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 4-1 HT 3-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
02.09.2023 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-1 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
20.11.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
31.07.2022 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 HT 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
13.11.2021 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-2 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1-0
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk nicked a narrow win over Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yenisey Krasnoyarsk as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 43% of the ball to Alaniya Vladikavkaz's 57%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 0.83 for Alaniya Vladikavkaz.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz in the Russia - FNL on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 52%, draw 27%, Alaniya Vladikavkaz 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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