Chernomorets 2-0 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 38%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
0.77/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.89
-28% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
04.05.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 1-2 HT 0-2 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
30.07.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets got the better of Torpedo Moscow 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Chernomorets found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chernomorets and 1.33 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moscow?

Chernomorets 2-0 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 34%, draw 30%, Torpedo Moscow 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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