North Carolina vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
North Carolina v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
North Carolina vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Indy Eleven
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
North Carolina
USLP
3-2
HT 2-1
North Carolina
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Indy Eleven
USLP
North Carolina 4-2 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
North Carolina got the better of Indy Eleven 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had North Carolina as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, North Carolina had 52% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 48%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.96 to 1.51 — the balance of chances actually favoured Indy Eleven.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for North Carolina and 1.33 for Indy Eleven.
What was the final score of North Carolina vs Indy Eleven?
North Carolina 4-2 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Indy Eleven?
Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 43%, draw 27%, Indy Eleven 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.