Indy Eleven vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Indy Eleven v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs North Carolina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Indy Eleven 2-2 North Carolina — Actual Match Statistics
Indy Eleven and North Carolina finished all square at 2-2. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
Our pre-match lean was Indy Eleven at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
On the day, North Carolina saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.70 to 0.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Indy Eleven against 1.17 for North Carolina.
Indy Eleven vs North Carolina Result & Final Score
Indy Eleven 2 - 2 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Indy Eleven vs North Carolina Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 42%, draw 27%, North Carolina 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Indy Eleven) went the other way.