Charleston Battery 2-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.40/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.26
+6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.3 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
358 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
22.09.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-1 HT 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
28.07.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-2 HT 1-2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
13.04.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
26.03.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-0 HT 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
11.09.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
2-1
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.56 xG 1.54
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
433 Passes 330
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery nicked a narrow win over Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Charleston Battery found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 54% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 46%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.56 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Charleston Battery and 1.33 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Charleston Battery 2-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 39%, draw 26%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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