Charleston Battery 2-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.76
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
12%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 32% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.3pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
1.39/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.28
+11% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
15.5 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-1 HT 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
28.07.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-2 HT 1-2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
13.04.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
26.03.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-0 HT 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
11.09.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
19.06.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
2-1
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.66 xG 1.48
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
438 Passes 178
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery edged past Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 66% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 34%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 1.66 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Charleston Battery and 1.33 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Charleston Battery 2-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 46%, draw 26%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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