New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
2-2
HT 1-2
New Mexico United
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
New Mexico United 0-1 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights edged past New Mexico United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Las Vegas Lights made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 34% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 66%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.54 to 0.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured New Mexico United.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for New Mexico United and 1.33 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?
New Mexico United 0-1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 39%, draw 25%, Las Vegas Lights 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.