Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Vegas Lights v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 0-3
Orange County SC
USLP
2-2
HT 0-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
1-1
HT 1-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
3-0
HT 1-0
Orange County SC
USLP
Las Vegas Lights 1-0 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights nicked a narrow win over Orange County SC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Las Vegas Lights as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 52% of the ball to Orange County SC's 48%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.52 to 0.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.83 for Orange County SC.
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
Las Vegas Lights 1-0 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 44%, draw 23%, Orange County SC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Vegas Lights), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.