Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Las Vegas Lights v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Las Vegas Lights 1-0 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Orange County SC 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Las Vegas Lights as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, Las Vegas Lights had 52% of the ball to Orange County SC's 48%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.52 to 0.48.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.83 for Orange County SC.
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Result & Final Score
Las Vegas Lights 1 - 0 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 44%, draw 26%, Orange County SC 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Vegas Lights), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.