Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Vegas Lights v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 0-3
Orange County SC
USLP
2-2
HT 0-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
1-1
HT 1-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
3-0
HT 1-0
Orange County SC
USLP
2-1
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
Las Vegas Lights 1-1 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights and Orange County SC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Las Vegas Lights at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 65% of the ball to Orange County SC's 35%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.58 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 2.00 for Orange County SC.
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
Las Vegas Lights 1-1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 52%, draw 26%, Orange County SC 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Las Vegas Lights), BTTS No went the other way.