San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Antonio v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
San Antonio
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
3-0
HT 2-0
San Antonio
USLP
0-2
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
San Antonio 1-2 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising squeezed past San Antonio 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was San Antonio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Antonio had 63% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 37%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.80 to 1.30 — on chances, San Antonio could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Antonio and 2.00 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising?
San Antonio 1-2 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 42%, draw 25%, Phoenix Rising 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.