San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
San Antonio v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
San Antonio 1-2 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising shaded a tight game against San Antonio 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was San Antonio at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 63% to 37% in San Antonio's favour, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.80 to 1.30 — on chances, San Antonio could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for San Antonio against 2.00 for Phoenix Rising.
San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
San Antonio 1 - 2 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 48%, draw 27%, Phoenix Rising 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Antonio) went the other way.