Phoenix Rising 4-0 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 36% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
1.44/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.21
-1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
19.1 Crosses 18.2
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phoenix Rising
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Antonio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
218 Passes 231
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 2-1 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
06.08.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-2 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
23.04.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 1-1 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
08.05.2022 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 3-0 HT 2-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
03.04.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 0-2 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
08.09.2019 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-0 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phoenix Rising
4-0
AWAY San Antonio
1.86 xG 0.29
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
436 Passes 283
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phoenix Rising swept aside San Antonio 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Phoenix Rising as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Phoenix Rising had 57% of the ball to San Antonio's 43%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.86 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Phoenix Rising and 0.83 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio?

Phoenix Rising 4-0 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 42%, draw 26%, San Antonio 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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