Sacramento Republic vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sacramento Republic v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
5-0
HT 3-0
Louisville City
USLP
3-1
HT 2-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
Sacramento Republic 1-1 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic and Louisville City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 49% of the ball to Louisville City's 51%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.40 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sacramento Republic and 2.33 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Louisville City?
Sacramento Republic 1-1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 38%, draw 29%, Louisville City 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic), BTTS No went the other way.