Louisville City vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
5-0
HT 3-0
Louisville City
USLP
3-1
HT 2-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
Louisville City 4-3 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City nicked a narrow win over Sacramento Republic 4-3. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Louisville City had 45% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 55%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.35 to 1.86 — on chances, Sacramento Republic could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Louisville City and 3.00 for Sacramento Republic.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Sacramento Republic?
Louisville City 4-3 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Sacramento Republic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 48%, draw 27%, Sacramento Republic 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.