North Carolina 4-1 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
15%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.00/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.63
-71% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
14.7 Crosses 14.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North Carolina
4-1
AWAY Colorado Springs
2.46 xG 0.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
364 Passes 431
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH North Carolina vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina cruised past Colorado Springs 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had North Carolina as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, North Carolina had 46% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 54%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.46 to 0.47.

What was the final score of North Carolina vs Colorado Springs?

North Carolina 4-1 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 46%, draw 26%, Colorado Springs 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North Carolina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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