19/07/2026
·
00:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-0
LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
65%
18%
Draw
21%
13%
Away Win
14%
43%
Under 2.5
51%
57%
Over 2.5
49%
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
50%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v Leones del Norte — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
LDU Quito
EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Leones del Norte
EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
1.84/0.82
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.27/1.81
+2%
/
+0%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-63%
/
+19%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
2
366 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
256 · 74%
27.6
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.2
23.5
Crosses
14.0
2.3
Yellow Cards
3.2
LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
LDU Quito
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Leones del Norte
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
3.12
xG
0.96
50%
Ball Possession
50%
20
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
2
280
Passes
276
79%
Pass Accuracy
81%
29
Box Touches
10
18
Crosses
7
3
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
LDU Quito 0-1 Leones del Norte — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
LDU Quito
0-1
AWAY
Leones del Norte
0.88
xG
1.64
17
Total Shots
19
7
Shots on Target
6
9
Corners
4
391
Passes
255
20
Box Touches
25
36
Crosses
11
3
Yellow Cards
2
FAQ
LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Leones del Norte edged past LDU Quito 1-0 away from home in the Ecuador - Premier on 19 Jul 2026.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 0.88 to 1.64.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte?
LDU Quito 0-1 Leones del Norte in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 69%, draw 18%, Leones del Norte 13%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (LDU Quito)
✗ Over 2.5
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More Ecuador - Premier
19 Jul 2026