Barcelona SC 1-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 19 Jul 2026

📅19/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.33
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
71%
+0.4pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.4pp
11%
Away Win
11%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +28%
1.59/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.63
-1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
382 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 72%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
21.4 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Libertad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 238
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2026 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
30.11.2025 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
26.10.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
29.06.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 3-3 HT 2-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
02.03.2025 Libertad Libertad 1-4 HT 0-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
30.09.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
1-0
AWAY Libertad
1.80 xG 1.32
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 Passes 318
28 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC edged past Libertad 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.80 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barcelona SC and 0.83 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Libertad?

Barcelona SC 1-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 71%, draw 18%, Libertad 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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