Barcelona SC 1-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.43/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.24
-2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 69%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
21.0 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Libertad
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 0.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
294 Passes 224
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 3-3 HT 2-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
02.03.2025 Libertad Libertad 1-4 HT 0-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
30.09.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
15.04.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-3 HT 0-3 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
22.10.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
14.05.2023 Libertad Libertad 2-2 HT 0-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
1-0
AWAY Libertad
1.14 xG 0.56
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
586 Passes 237
91% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC nicked a narrow win over Libertad 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 66% of the ball to Libertad's 34%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.14 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Barcelona SC and 1.00 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Libertad?

Barcelona SC 1-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 49%, draw 23%, Libertad 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ Under 2.5
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