Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -18%
1.52/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.25
+7% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.7 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Aucas
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
215 Passes 325
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.09.2025 Aucas Aucas 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKVK
22.06.2025 Aucas Aucas 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
22.02.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
29.09.2024 Aucas Aucas 1-4 HT 0-3 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
13.04.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 3-3 HT 0-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
04.11.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-2
AWAY Aucas
1.10 xG 0.37
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
471 Passes 153
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aucas nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cuenca at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 70% of the ball to Aucas's 30%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.10 to 0.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Cuenca.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.00 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 45%, draw 25%, Aucas 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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