Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-1
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
1-2
HT 0-2
Aucas
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
2-1
HT 2-0
Aucas
EKV1
Aucas 1-4 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Cuenca cruised past Aucas 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Aucas at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Aucas had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 39%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.53 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aucas.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aucas and 1.33 for Deportivo Cuenca.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Aucas 1-4 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aucas 48%, draw 26%, Deportivo Cuenca 26%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.