Cumbaya vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cumbaya v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
Cumbaya vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Cumbaya
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
Cumbaya
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
Cumbaya 1-0 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Cumbaya squeezed past Emelec 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Emelec at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Cumbaya had 39% of the ball to Emelec's 61%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.38 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Emelec.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Cumbaya and 1.40 for Emelec.
What was the final score of Cumbaya vs Emelec?
Cumbaya 1-0 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cumbaya vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated an Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cumbaya 29%, draw 30%, Emelec 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Emelec) went the other way.