Delfin vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Delfin v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals
Delfin vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-0
Delfin
EKV1
4-0
HT 2-0
Delfin
CON CSA
3-0
HT 1-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
3-2
HT 1-1
Delfin
EKV1
Delfin 3-2 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics
Delfin squeezed past LDU Quito 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Delfin had 53% of the ball to LDU Quito's 47%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 3.59 to 0.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Delfin's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Delfin and 1.67 for LDU Quito.
What was the final score of Delfin vs LDU Quito?
Delfin 3-2 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Delfin vs LDU Quito?
Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Delfin 30%, draw 28%, LDU Quito 42%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.