Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.45/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.22
+16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.3 Crosses 15.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aucas
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
260 Passes 248
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Aucas Aucas 1-4 HT 0-3 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
13.04.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 3-3 HT 0-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
04.11.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
28.05.2023 Aucas Aucas 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
30.07.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-2 Aucas Aucas EKV1
12.03.2022 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2-0
AWAY Aucas
1.25 xG 0.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
171 Passes 353
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca beat Aucas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Cuenca as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 37% of the ball to Aucas's 63%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.25 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.00 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 41%, draw 28%, Aucas 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
22 Feb 2025
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