El Nacional vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Macara — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Macara
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
El Nacional
EKV1
El Nacional 2-0 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional got the better of Macara 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Macara at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, El Nacional had 48% of the ball to Macara's 52%, shots finished 18-22, expected goals 2.21 to 1.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macara led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for El Nacional and 1.50 for Macara.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Macara?
El Nacional 2-0 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 27%, draw 24%, Macara 50%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.