El Nacional vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Macara — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Macara
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
El Nacional
EKV1
0-1
HT 0-1
El Nacional
EKV1
El Nacional 0-2 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
Macara saw off El Nacional 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Macara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, El Nacional had 56% of the ball to Macara's 44%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.14 to 1.86.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for El Nacional and 1.17 for Macara.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Macara?
El Nacional 0-2 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 36%, draw 27%, Macara 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macara), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.