Uni. Catolica 1-1 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 14 Sep 2025

Uni. Catolica
1-1 HT 1-0
Delfin
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Uni. Catolica vs Delfin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
65%
-2.6pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.1pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Delfin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.90/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.50
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 75%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
18.5 Crosses 12.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Uni. Catolica vs Delfin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Delfin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 0.69
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
439 Passes 205
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2025 Delfin Delfin 1-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
24.09.2024 Uni. Catolica 2-1 HT 2-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
07.04.2024 Delfin Delfin 0-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
24.10.2023 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
14.05.2023 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
24.10.2022 Delfin Delfin 2-1 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Uni. Catolica 1-1 Delfin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
1-1
AWAY Delfin
1.14 xG 0.47
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
594 Passes 185
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 5
13 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica and Delfin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Uni. Catolica at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 73% of the ball to Delfin's 27%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.14 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.00 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Delfin?

Uni. Catolica 1-1 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 63%, draw 18%, Delfin 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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