Delfin 1-0 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.96/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.16
-44% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
15.5 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.78 xG 1.38
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
214 Passes 446
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2024 Uni. Catolica 2-1 HT 2-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
07.04.2024 Delfin Delfin 0-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
24.10.2023 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
14.05.2023 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
24.10.2022 Delfin Delfin 2-1 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
30.05.2022 Uni. Catolica 4-2 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
1-0
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.08 xG 0.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
219 Passes 390
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin nicked a narrow win over Uni. Catolica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Uni. Catolica at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Delfin had 38% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 62%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.08 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Delfin and 1.83 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Uni. Catolica?

Delfin 1-0 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Delfin 32%, draw 26%, Uni. Catolica 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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