Cuniburo FC 1-3 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 50%
+61% / +61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
2.02/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.02
+150% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
255 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.0 Crosses 14.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuniburo FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2024 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuniburo FC
1-3
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.10 xG 1.25
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
218 Passes 425
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cuniburo FC vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle beat Cuniburo FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cuniburo FC had 36% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 64%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.10 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Cuniburo FC vs Independiente Del Valle?

Cuniburo FC 1-3 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuniburo FC vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cuniburo FC 33%, draw 26%, Independiente Del Valle 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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