Mushuc Runa vs Orense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Orense — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Orense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
3-1
HT 1-0
Orense
EKV1
1-1
HT 1-0
Orense
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 2-5 Orense — Actual Match Statistics
Orense ran out comfortable winners over Mushuc Runa 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Mushuc Runa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 39% of the ball to Orense's 61%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.72 to 2.23.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.00 for Orense.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Orense?
Mushuc Runa 2-5 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Orense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 46%, draw 28%, Orense 26%. The final score 2-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.