Mushuc Runa vs Orense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Orense — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Orense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
3-1
HT 1-0
Orense
EKV1
1-1
HT 1-0
Orense
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 2-1 Orense — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa edged past Orense 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 44% of the ball to Orense's 56%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 1.35 to 1.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mushuc Runa and 0.83 for Orense.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Orense?
Mushuc Runa 2-1 Orense in the Copa Sudamericana on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Orense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 45%, draw 29%, Orense 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.