Academia Puerto Cabello 3-0 Metropolitan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.34
2-3 Goals
34%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.55
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitan EU Bookmakers 32%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.08/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.25
-100% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
37.0 Crosses 12.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Metropolitan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.93 xG 1.58
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
332 Passes 190
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.07.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-4 HT 0-1 Metropolitan VENK
09.04.2021 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitan CSA
19.03.2021 Metropolitan 2-0 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
3-0
AWAY Metropolitan
2.48 xG 0.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
278 Passes 255
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello swept aside Metropolitan 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Academia Puerto Cabello made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 51% of the ball to Metropolitan's 49%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 2.48 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Metropolitan led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 2.33 for Metropolitan.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitan?

Academia Puerto Cabello 3-0 Metropolitan in the Copa Sudamericana on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 39%, draw 27%, Metropolitan 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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