Union Espanola 2-2 CD Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
14%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Everton EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CD Everton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
320 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 CD Everton CD Everton 3-2 HT 2-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
14.04.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 4-2 HT 1-0 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
23.07.2023 CD Everton CD Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
05.02.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
17.07.2022 CD Everton CD Everton 2-1 HT 2-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
19.02.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Everton CD Everton ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
2-2
AWAY CD Everton
1.75 xG 2.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
247 Passes 271
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs CD Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola and CD Everton couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Espanola had 46% of the ball to CD Everton's 54%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.75 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Everton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Espanola and 1.67 for CD Everton.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs CD Everton?

Union Espanola 2-2 CD Everton in the Copa Sudamericana on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs CD Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 37%, draw 29%, CD Everton 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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