Macara vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macara v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Macara vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Macara
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
El Nacional
EKV1
0-1
HT 0-1
El Nacional
EKV1
1-2
HT 1-1
Macara
EKV1
Macara 1-1 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Macara and El Nacional shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Macara had 53% of the ball to El Nacional's 47%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.22 to 1.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macara had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Macara and 0.83 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Macara vs El Nacional?
Macara 1-1 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macara vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Macara 40%, draw 24%, El Nacional 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Macara), BTTS No went the other way.