Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-1
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
1-2
HT 0-2
Aucas
EKV1
Aucas 1-3 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Cuenca beat Aucas 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Aucas at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aucas had 64% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 36%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.25 to 1.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aucas and 2.00 for Deportivo Cuenca.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Aucas 1-3 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aucas 52%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cuenca 21%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.