LDU Quito 1-1 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.24/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.19
+51% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
16.9 Crosses 16.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 0.97
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
206 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
14.12.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
07.12.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
09.11.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
19.05.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
18.12.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
1-1
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.85 xG 0.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 245
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito and Independiente Del Valle couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 58% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 42%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.85 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for LDU Quito and 0.83 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle?

LDU Quito 1-1 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 39%, draw 29%, Independiente Del Valle 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LDU Quito) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5
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