Emelec 2-2 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.04/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.48
-44% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
21.1 Crosses 14.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Delfin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
297 Passes 204
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
25.08.2024 Delfin Delfin 0-1 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
22.03.2024 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
27.08.2023 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
02.04.2023 Delfin Delfin 3-2 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
07.08.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-3 HT 0-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
2-2
AWAY Delfin
1.53 xG 1.06
69% Ball Possession 31%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
374 Passes 134
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec and Delfin couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Emelec had 69% of the ball to Delfin's 31%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 1.53 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Emelec and 1.00 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Delfin?

Emelec 2-2 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Emelec 40%, draw 30%, Delfin 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Emelec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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