Macara 1-0 Cuniburo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.37/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.06
-30% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.3 Crosses 17.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Cuniburo FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.92 xG 0.47
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 384
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.02.2025 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
28.07.2024 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKVK
16.08.2023 Macara Macara 2-0 HT 0-0 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC EKV2
17.05.2023 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Macara Macara EKV2
27.03.2023 Macara Macara 0-0 HT 0-0 Cuniburo FC Cuniburo FC EKV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
1-0
AWAY Cuniburo FC
1.42 xG 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 10
193 Passes 340
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Macara vs Cuniburo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara nicked a narrow win over Cuniburo FC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Macara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Macara had 39% of the ball to Cuniburo FC's 61%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.42 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Macara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Macara and 1.20 for Cuniburo FC.

What was the final score of Macara vs Cuniburo FC?

Macara 1-0 Cuniburo FC in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Cuniburo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Macara 43%, draw 25%, Cuniburo FC 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Macara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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