Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-1
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
Aucas 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas and Deportivo Cuenca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Aucas at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Aucas had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 50%, shots finished 17-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aucas and 2.33 for Deportivo Cuenca.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Aucas 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Cup on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aucas 48%, draw 26%, Deportivo Cuenca 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aucas) went the other way.