Libertad 1-4 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -6%
1.23/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.15
-24% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.4 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.42 xG 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
250 Passes 274
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
15.04.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-3 HT 0-3 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
22.10.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
14.05.2023 Libertad Libertad 2-2 HT 0-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
10.04.2015 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC LKU
04.03.2015 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
1-4
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.55 xG 1.46
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
285 Passes 155
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 8
41 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC cruised past Libertad 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Barcelona SC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Libertad had 62% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 38%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.55 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Libertad and 1.17 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Barcelona SC?

Libertad 1-4 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Libertad 33%, draw 28%, Barcelona SC 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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