Barcelona SC 0-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.75/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.61
+11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
18.8 Crosses 10.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Libertad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 Passes 268
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-3 HT 0-3 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
22.10.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
14.05.2023 Libertad Libertad 2-2 HT 0-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
10.04.2015 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC LKU
04.03.2015 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad LKU
18.09.2014 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 2-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
0-0
AWAY Libertad
0.77 xG 0.18
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
391 Passes 131
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
34 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC and Libertad fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Barcelona SC at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 69% of the ball to Libertad's 31%, shots finished 14-2, expected goals 0.77 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barcelona SC and 1.00 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Libertad?

Barcelona SC 0-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 57%, draw 24%, Libertad 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barcelona SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
30 Sep 2024
23:30 Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa Analysis →