Tecnico Universitario 2-2 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.27/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.47
-25% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.0 Crosses 18.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 0.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
277 Passes 275
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-2 HT 1-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
05.11.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
27.05.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
24.07.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
05.03.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-3 HT 1-3 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
17.10.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-1 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
2-2
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.22 xG 1.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
209 Passes 140
69% Pass Accuracy 60%
24 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 26
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario and Mushuc Runa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Tecnico Universitario at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 55% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 45%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.22 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tecnico Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 0.83 for Mushuc Runa.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa?

Tecnico Universitario 2-2 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 49%, draw 25%, Mushuc Runa 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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