Independiente Del Valle 1-1 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 2 Mar 2025

Independiente Del Valle
1-1 HT 1-0
Uni. Catolica
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Independiente Del Valle vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Del Valle v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.45/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.20
+31% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.1 Crosses 15.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Independiente Del Valle vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 1.46
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
430 Passes 256
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 5-2 HT 2-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.04.2024 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 2-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
26.08.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-1 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
01.04.2023 Uni. Catolica 2-3 HT 2-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
29.08.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
17.04.2022 Uni. Catolica 3-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1

Independiente Del Valle 1-1 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
1-1
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.01 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
345 Passes 354
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle and Uni. Catolica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Del Valle at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 50% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 50%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.01 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 2.00 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Uni. Catolica?

Independiente Del Valle 1-1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 48%, draw 26%, Uni. Catolica 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ BTTS No
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