LDU Quito 4-0 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.91/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.41
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +18%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 73%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
22.0 Crosses 11.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Orense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 0.98
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
327 Passes 203
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
20.04.2024 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
23.09.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
23.04.2023 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.09.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-2 HT 0-2 Orense Orense EKV1
20.04.2022 Orense Orense 3-0 HT 2-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
4-0
AWAY Orense
3.60 xG 0.27
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
393 Passes 232
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito ran out comfortable winners over Orense 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 61% of the ball to Orense's 39%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 3.60 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orense led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for LDU Quito and 1.33 for Orense.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Orense?

LDU Quito 4-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 60%, draw 23%, Orense 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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