LDU Quito 2-0 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.4pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.97/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.39
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
21.7 Crosses 12.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Orense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
319 Passes 185
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
23.09.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
23.04.2023 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.09.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-2 HT 0-2 Orense Orense EKV1
20.04.2022 Orense Orense 3-0 HT 2-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
21.11.2021 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
2-0
AWAY Orense
1.75 xG 0.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 0
263 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito saw off Orense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, LDU Quito had 48% of the ball to Orense's 52%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 1.75 to 0.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for LDU Quito and 1.50 for Orense.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Orense?

LDU Quito 2-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 63%, draw 20%, Orense 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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