Uni. Catolica 2-1 Imbabura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-10.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Imbabura EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.76/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.18
+17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
20.1 Crosses 11.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Imbabura
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
3.15 xG 0.90
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
485 Passes 212
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Crosses 7
6 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2024 Imbabura Imbabura 2-2 HT 2-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
2-1
AWAY Imbabura
3.46 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
368 Passes 255
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Imbabura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica edged past Imbabura 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 58% of the ball to Imbabura's 42%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 3.46 to 1.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Uni. Catolica's control.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Imbabura?

Uni. Catolica 2-1 Imbabura in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Imbabura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 56%, draw 23%, Imbabura 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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