Barcelona SC 3-3 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-14.4pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.8pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.47/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.56
+1% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 72%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
20.4 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Libertad
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 0.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Libertad Libertad 1-4 HT 0-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
30.09.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
15.04.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-3 HT 0-3 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
22.10.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
14.05.2023 Libertad Libertad 2-2 HT 0-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
10.04.2015 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
3-3
AWAY Libertad
1.03 xG 1.08
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 3
359 Passes 184
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC and Libertad couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona SC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 63% of the ball to Libertad's 37%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.03 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Barcelona SC and 0.67 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Libertad?

Barcelona SC 3-3 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 48%, draw 28%, Libertad 23%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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