Orense 2-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.37/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.31
+30% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.5 Crosses 16.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
3W-0D-3L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.72 xG 1.93
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
210 Passes 340
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 4-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
06.10.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
20.04.2024 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
23.09.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
23.04.2023 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.09.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-2 HT 0-2 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
2-1
AWAY LDU Quito
1.25 xG 0.60
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
180 Passes 342
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orense vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense edged past LDU Quito 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Orense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orense had 37% of the ball to LDU Quito's 63%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.25 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Orense and 1.50 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Orense vs LDU Quito?

Orense 2-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Orense 35%, draw 27%, LDU Quito 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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