Uni. Catolica 0-3 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Stats & Model Review (Ecuador - Premier, 29 Jun 2025)

Uni. Catolica

0-3 HT 0-3

Independiente Del Valle

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗

Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

36%

3.17

Draw

27%

3.45

Away

37%

1.98

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55%

2.03

Over 2.5

45%

1.71

Both Teams to Score

Yes

48%

1.63

52%

2.13

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

33%

2-3 Goals

37%

4-5 Goals

22%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

11%

1/2

11%

1/X

X/1

18%

X/2

15%

X/X

13%

2/1

2/2

11%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

36%

Home Win

28%

+7.8pp

28%

Draw

26%

+2.1pp

37%

Away Win

46%

-9.8pp

55%

Under 2.5

45%

+9.9pp

45%

Over 2.5

55%

-9.9pp

48%

BTTS Yes

57%

-9.4pp

52%

BTTS No

43%

+9.4pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 32%

Head to Head

AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 50%

+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%

1.37/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.04

+47% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +4%

46% Ball Possession 54%

11 Total Shots 14

4 Shots on Target 4

4 Corners 5

254 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%

14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2

8.8 Crosses 14.2

2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Uni. Catolica

2W-2D-2L

AWAY Independiente Del Valle

1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00

1.24 xG 1.33

41% Ball Possession 59%

8 Total Shots 14

3 Shots on Target 6

3 Corners 6

277 Passes 419

81% Pass Accuracy 88%

14 Box Touches 16

12 Crosses 16

2 Yellow Cards 2

The Meetings

02.03.2025 Independiente Del Valle

1-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1

28.09.2024 Independiente Del Valle

5-2 HT 2-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1

14.04.2024 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 2-2

Independiente Del Valle EKV1

26.08.2023 Independiente Del Valle

0-1 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1

01.04.2023 Uni. Catolica 2-3 HT 2-2

Independiente Del Valle EKV1

29.08.2022 Independiente Del Valle

1-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Uni. Catolica 0-3 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Uni. Catolica

0-3

AWAY Independiente Del Valle

0.60 xG 2.16

60% Ball Possession 40%

10 Total Shots 12

4 Shots on Target 6

5 Corners 4

502 Passes 317

86% Pass Accuracy 82%

21 Box Touches 13

16 Crosses 9

2 Yellow Cards 1

POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle cruised past Uni. Catolica 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Independiente Del Valle made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 60% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 40%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.60 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Uni. Catolica and 2.00 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle?

Uni. Catolica 0-3 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 36%, draw 28%, Independiente Del Valle 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No

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